Tom Brady and Alex Rodriguez: Statistics and probability

Alex Rodriguez

Alex Rodriguez

Is it merely coincidental that Gisele Bündchen skipped The Metropolitan Museum of Art gala precisely at the moment when hubby Tom Brady was about to be raked over the coals for his role in Deflategate?

What is it that they said in the Deflategate report? It’s “more probable than not” that it was a coincidence. Still, she and he have been staples on the gala’s red carpet for years. Let’s just say it was convenient that she had to attend that Chanel Cruise Seoul event half a world away.

Gala empress Anna Wintour filled in the football slot with Green Bay Packers’ quarterback Aaron Rodgers – who is not in trouble for overinflating his balls, to the chagrin of some – and his girlfriend, actress Olivia Munn, whose J. Mendel gown overwhelmed with its sleeves. (The gala’s fashion proved that less really is more. The more straightforward the gown, as in Gong Li’s black lace and marsala velvet evocation of the gala’s Chinese theme, the more stunning it was.)

Meanwhile, it’s interesting that the report on Deflategate has come out as Alex Rodriguez continues his assault on the all-time home run record.  Rodriguez just passed Willie Mays, who sent him congratulations when he tied his record. Now it’s on to Babe Ruth, Hank Aaron and Barry Bonds. Frankly, does anyone care? A-Rod is 39 and would have to average 20 home runs a year for the next four years to do it, or 30 home runs over three years.  Not impossible but not probable. And life is more about probability than it is possibility.

Anyway, any record would be tainted by Rodriguez’s steroid use, just as Bonds’ record is. That’s why the Yankees, for whom A-Rod toils, are not going to pay him a bonus.

Brady – who is not being served by apologists like Peter King and Rush Limbaugh – should take a good, hard look at Rodriquez.